Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.80
No44%
ours 2.25
All matches
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Sion — Lausanne, Super League
Switzerland, Super League
Sion
2.5DWWWW
Lausanne
1.4LLLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
63%22%15%
Sion63%Draw22%Lausanne15%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sion1.59—
XDraw4.54—
2Lausanne6.58—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSionLausanneCombined
Goals scored2.330.502.83
Conceded1.001.832.83
Corners10.810.210.5
Cards1.62.23.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
SionLausanne
FC Sion 63%, FC Lausanne Sport 15%. The safest is “FC Sion or draw” at 80%.
FC Sion 63%Draw 22%FC Lausanne Sport 15%
1st half
39 · 38 · 23
2nd half
43 · 36 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Sion
- homeZurich1:1
- awayGrasshopper5:2
- awaySt. Gallen3:0
- homeThun3:2
- awayBasel2:1
Lausanne
- homeLugano0:4
- homeServette0:1
- awayVaduz1:3
- awayThun0:0
- homeZurich2:3
Head to head
- 04/12/26Super League3:0
- 11/09/25Super League2:2
- 09/28/25Super League0:0
- 04/05/25Super League0:2
- 11/23/24Super League0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Lugano981027:725
Lugano981027:7252
Young Boys954031:1819
Young Boys954031:18193Sion961223:1419
Sion961223:14194
Basel941417:1713
Basel941417:17135
St. Gallen941416:1913
St. Gallen941416:19136
Luzern933317:1812
Luzern933317:18127
Zurich932414:2011
Zurich932414:20118
Servette931511:1310
Servette931511:13109
Thun931515:2310
Thun931515:231010
Grasshopper922513:248
Grasshopper922513:24811
Vaduz920718:216
Vaduz920718:21612Lausanne91357:156
Lausanne91357:156Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.