Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.66
No40%
ours 2.51
All matches
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St. Gallen — Servette, Super League
Switzerland, Super League
St. Gallen
2.5WLLWL
Servette
2.0LWWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
50%24%26%
St. Gallen50%Draw24%Servette26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1St. Gallen2.01—
XDraw4.09—
2Servette3.89—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSt. GallenServetteCombined
Goals scored1.001.172.17
Conceded1.331.172.50
Corners10.012.011.0
Cards2.02.54.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
St. GallenServette
FC Sankt Gallen 1879 50%, Servette FC 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
FC Sankt Gallen 1879 50%Draw 24%Servette FC 26%
1st half
41 · 36 · 23
2nd half
37 · 36 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 5.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
St. Gallen
- awayBasel3:1
- awayLugano1:4
- homeSion0:3
- awayServette2:0
- awayGrasshopper0:2
Servette
- awayYoung Boys2:3
- awayThun4:2
- awayLausanne1:0
- homeSt. Gallen0:2
- awayLugano0:1
Head to head
- 09/06/26Super League2:0
- 02/21/26Super League1:1
- 01/25/26Super League2:4
- 08/02/25Super League4:1
- 04/06/25Super League1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Sion961223:1419
Sion961223:14194
Basel941417:1713
Basel941417:17135St. Gallen941416:1913
St. Gallen941416:19136
Luzern933317:1812
Luzern933317:18127
Zurich932414:2011
Zurich932414:20118Servette931511:1310
Servette931511:13109
Thun931515:2310
Thun931515:231010
Grasshopper922513:248
Grasshopper922513:248Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.