Both teams to score
Yes47%
ours 2.15
No53%
ours 1.87
All matches
Obolon-Brovar Kyiv — Karpaty Lviv, Premier League
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
16%27%57%
Obolon-Brovar Kyiv16%Draw27%Karpaty Lviv57%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Obolon-Brovar Kyiv6.25—
XDraw3.65—
2Karpaty Lviv1.77—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3839 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3828 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3818 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Obolon-Brovar KyivKarpaty Lviv
FC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv 16%, FC Karpaty Lviv 57%. The safest is “FC Karpaty Lviv or draw” at 84%.
FC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv 16%Draw 27%FC Karpaty Lviv 57%
1st half
21 · 40 · 40
2nd half
19 · 35 · 46
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Under 1.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricObolon-Brovar KyivKarpaty LvivCombined
Goals scored0.801.001.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Obolon-Brovar Kyiv- Fewest shots on target in the league — 1.8 per match16 teams in the league
- Worst attack in the league — 4 goals in 10 matches13th place, 7 points
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
Karpaty Lviv- Won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings4:0, 2:0, 2:2, 1:0
- One win in the last 5 matches0:0, 2:2, 0:1, 1:1, 2:0
- 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Obolon-Brovar Kyiv
- awayShakhtar Donetsk0:2
- awayPolissya Zhytomyr0:3
- homeVeres Rivne2:0
- awayChornomorets Odessa1:1
- awayLNZ Cherkasy1:3
Karpaty Lviv
- awayChornomorets Odessa0:0
- homeEpitsentr Dunayivtsi2:2
- awayDynamo Kyiv0:1
- homeVeres Rivne1:1
- awayKolos Kovalivka2:0
Head to head
- 03/22/26Premier League0:4
- 09/22/25Premier League0:2
- 04/26/25Premier League2:2
- 10/26/24Premier League0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Ukraine, Premier League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.