All matches

Kolos Kovalivka — Polissya Zhytomyr, Ukrainian Premier League

Ukraine, Ukrainian Premier League

Kolos Kovalivka
2.0WLDDL
—
Polissya Zhytomyr
2.7WWWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
22%25%53%
Kolos Kovalivka22%Draw25%Polissya Zhytomyr53%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kolos Kovalivka22%4.59—
XDraw25%4.00—
2Polissya Zhytomyr53%1.88—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes51%

ours 1.94

No49%

ours 2.06

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKolos KovalivkaPolissya ZhytomyrCombined
Goals scored0.831.172.00
Conceded1.000.171.17
Corners10.78.79.7
Cards4.70.75.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Kolos KovalivkaPolissya Zhytomyr

FK Kolos Kovalivka 22%, Polessya Zhitomir 53%. The safest is “Polessya Zhitomir or draw” at 76%.

FK Kolos Kovalivka 22%Draw 25%Polessya Zhitomir 53%
1st half
24 · 37 · 39
2nd half
25 · 41 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Kolos Kovalivka

  • awayKudrivka3:2
  • homeKarpaty Lviv0:2
  • awayHirnyk2:2
  • homeObolon-Brovar Kyiv0:0
  • awayDynamo Kyiv1:2

Polissya Zhytomyr

  • homeHirnyk1:0
  • homeLivyi Bereh1:0
  • homeKudrivka5:1
  • awayShakhtar Donetsk2:0
  • homeZorya Luhansk1:2

Head to head

  • 02/22/26Ukrainian Premier League0:2
  • 08/10/25Ukrainian Premier League1:0
  • 04/27/25Ukrainian Premier League1:1
  • 10/25/24Ukrainian Premier League1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk760115:418
2Polissya Zhytomyr760115:518
3Karpaty Lviv742115:514
4Dynamo Kyiv64119:513
5Metalist Kharkiv640212:412
6Veres Rivne72326:69
7Epitsentr Dunayivtsi72236:78
8LNZ Cherkasy72235:88
9Zorya Luhansk72237:118
10Livyi Bereh61414:37
11Bukovyna Chernivtsi71424:67
12Hirnyk61237:105
13Kolos Kovalivka61236:105
14Chornomorets Odessa61233:75
15Obolon-Brovar Kyiv70432:124

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.