All matches

Famalicao — Academico de Viseu, Liga NOS

Portugal, Liga NOS

2.2WLWDD
  
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
47%27%25%
Famalicao47%Draw27%Academico de Viseu25%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
Available with PremiumUnlock

Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Famalicao47%2.12—
XDraw27%3.65—
2Academico de Viseu25%3.93—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.88

No47%

ours 2.14

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with Premium.

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with Premium.

Goals and corners — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3612 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3602 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3593 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

FamalicaoAcademico de Viseu

FC Famalicão 47%, Academico de Viseu FC 25%. The safest is “FC Famalicão or draw” at 75%.

FC Famalicão 47%Draw 27%Academico de Viseu FC 25%
1st half
38 · 42 · 19
2nd half
44 · 33 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total shots on target: Over 6.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFamalicaoAcademico de ViseuCombined
Goals scored2.401.804.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Famalicao
  • Winless at home in 4 matches1:4, 1:1, 0:0, 1:2, 1:0
  • 12 goals in the last 5 matches4:0, 1:4, 4:0, 1:1, 2:2
  • 4 draws in 9 matches — most in the league11th place, 10 points
Academico de Viseu
  • Unbeaten away in 7 matches2:1, 2:0, 1:0, 2:2, 2:2
  • 5 wins in a row2:1, 2:1, 2:0, 2:1, 1:0
  • Most yellow cards in the league — 3.0 per match18 teams in the league

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Famalicao

  • awayRio Ave4:0
  • homeAlverca1:4
  • awayNacional4:0
  • homeSporting CP1:1
  • awayEstrela Amadora2:2

Academico de Viseu

  • awaySporting CP2:1
  • homeEstoril2:1
  • awayEstrela Amadora2:0
  • homeVitoria Guimaraes2:1
  • awayGil Vicente1:0

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Santa Clara953113:618
5Arouca952212:717
6Academico de Viseu952213:1117
7Gil Vicente94238:714
8Alverca932413:1311
9Braga93249:1111
10Moreirense932411:1611
11Famalicao924314:1110
12Estrela Amadora924314:1710
13Vitoria Guimaraes922510:108

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.