Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.68
No40%
ours 2.48
All matches
—
Colorado Rapids — Chicago Fire, MLS
USA, MLS
Colorado Rapids
1.6LDWDL
Chicago Fire
1.9WLLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
41%25%34%
Colorado Rapids41%Draw25%Chicago Fire34%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Colorado Rapids2.45—
XDraw4.01—
2Chicago Fire2.92—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricColorado RapidsChicago FireCombined
Goals scored0.330.000.33
Conceded0.500.000.50
Corners11.0——
Cards3.0——
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Colorado RapidsChicago Fire
Colorado Rapids 41%, Chicago Fire 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Colorado Rapids 41%Draw 25%Chicago Fire 34%
1st half
38 · 36 · 26
2nd half
31 · 38 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Colorado Rapids
- awayLA Galaxy2:3
- homeSeattle Sounders3:3
- homeMontreal Impact1:0
- awayAustin1:1
- awayColumbus Crew0:3
Chicago Fire
- awayCharlotte1:0
- awayNashville SC0:3
- homeNew England Revolution1:2
- homeInter Miami1:1
- awayToronto4:4
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Houston Dynamo27135934:3244
Houston Dynamo27135934:32449
Charlotte27127847:3843
Charlotte27127847:384310Chicago Fire26126846:3842
Chicago Fire26126846:384211
Los Angeles28118943:3041
Los Angeles28118943:304112
Philadelphia Union271161054:4439
Philadelphia Union271161054:443913
Seattle Sounders27108935:3538
Seattle Sounders27108935:353814Colorado Rapids271131338:3836
Colorado Rapids271131338:383615
LA Galaxy28991037:4436
LA Galaxy28991037:443616
Orlando City271041348:6434
Orlando City271041348:6434Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.