Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.71
No41%
ours 2.41
All matches
—
San Jose Earthquakes — Colorado Rapids, MLS
USA, MLS
San Jose Earthquakes
1.5WDWWD
Colorado Rapids
1.6LDWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
49%25%26%
San Jose Earthquakes49%Draw25%Colorado Rapids26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1San Jose Earthquakes2.04—
XDraw4.05—
2Colorado Rapids3.81—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSan Jose EarthquakesColorado RapidsCombined
Goals scored0.830.831.66
Conceded0.501.001.50
Corners17.510.514.0
Cards2.02.54.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
San Jose EarthquakesColorado Rapids
San Jose Earthquakes 49%, Colorado Rapids 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
San Jose Earthquakes 49%Draw 25%Colorado Rapids 26%
1st half
39 · 36 · 25
2nd half
36 · 38 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 12.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
San Jose Earthquakes
- homePortland Timbers3:1
- homeLos Angeles2:2
- homeHouston Dynamo1:0
- awaySan Diego3:2
- awayAustin1:1
Colorado Rapids
- awayLA Galaxy2:3
- homeSeattle Sounders3:3
- homeMontreal Impact1:0
- awayAustin1:1
- awayColumbus Crew0:3
Head to head
- 05/11/25MLS2:0
- 03/16/25MLS1:2
- 05/12/24MLS3:2
- 04/14/24MLS0:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Inter Miami271210564:5046
Inter Miami271210564:50466
New England Revolution27144945:3646
New England Revolution27144945:36467San Jose Earthquakes27136849:3945
San Jose Earthquakes27136849:39458
Houston Dynamo27135934:3244
Houston Dynamo27135934:32449
Charlotte27127847:3843
Charlotte27127847:384310
Chicago Fire26126846:3842
Chicago Fire26126846:384211
Los Angeles28118943:3041
Los Angeles28118943:304112
Philadelphia Union271161054:4439
Philadelphia Union271161054:443913
Seattle Sounders27108935:3538
Seattle Sounders27108935:353814Colorado Rapids271131338:3836
Colorado Rapids271131338:383615
LA Galaxy28991037:4436
LA Galaxy28991037:443616
Orlando City271041348:6434
Orlando City271041348:6434Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.