Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.68
No41%
ours 2.47
All matches
—
Portland Timbers — Colorado Rapids, MLS
USA, MLS
Portland Timbers
1.7LLLDW
Colorado Rapids
1.6LDWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%25%28%
Portland Timbers47%Draw25%Colorado Rapids28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Portland Timbers2.12—
XDraw4.04—
2Colorado Rapids3.55—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPortland TimbersColorado RapidsCombined
Goals scored0.671.171.84
Conceded1.331.172.50
Corners11.39.810.5
Cards1.02.33.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Portland TimbersColorado Rapids
Portland Timbers 47%, Colorado Rapids 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Portland Timbers 47%Draw 25%Colorado Rapids 28%
1st half
36 · 35 · 29
2nd half
38 · 38 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Portland Timbers
- awaySan Jose Earthquakes1:3
- homeAtlanta United0:1
- awayDallas1:2
- homeSt. Louis City2:2
- homeMinnesota United5:4
Colorado Rapids
- awayLA Galaxy2:3
- homeSeattle Sounders3:3
- homeMontreal Impact1:0
- awayAustin1:1
- awayColumbus Crew0:3
Head to head
- 02/28/26MLS0:2
- 05/29/25MLS2:1
- 03/23/25MLS3:0
- 09/15/24MLS1:2
- 02/25/24MLS4:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12
Philadelphia Union271161054:4439
Philadelphia Union271161054:443913
Seattle Sounders27108935:3538
Seattle Sounders27108935:353814Colorado Rapids271131338:3836
Colorado Rapids271131338:383615
LA Galaxy28991037:4436
LA Galaxy28991037:443616
Orlando City271041348:6434
Orlando City271041348:643417
New York City27891041:3633
New York City27891041:363318
Cincinnati2689955:6433
Cincinnati2689955:643319
New York Red Bulls27961234:5133
New York Red Bulls27961234:513320
San Diego27881147:4732
San Diego27881147:473221Portland Timbers27951348:5132
Portland Timbers27951348:513222
Real Salt Lake27951340:4432
Real Salt Lake27951340:443223
Austin277101035:4731
Austin277101035:4731Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.