All matches

Colorado Rapids — Minnesota United, MLS

USA, MLS

Colorado Rapids
1.6LDWDL
—
Minnesota United
1.9LLLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
45%25%30%
Colorado Rapids45%Draw25%Minnesota United30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Colorado Rapids45%2.20—
XDraw25%4.00—
2Minnesota United30%3.39—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.70

No41%

ours 2.42

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricColorado RapidsMinnesota UnitedCombined
Goals scored1.171.672.84
Conceded1.672.834.50
Corners8.610.49.5
Cards1.82.03.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Colorado RapidsMinnesota United

Colorado Rapids 45%, Minnesota United FC 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

Colorado Rapids 45%Draw 25%Minnesota United FC 30%
1st half
41 · 37 · 22
2nd half
31 · 38 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Colorado Rapids

  • awayLA Galaxy2:3
  • homeSeattle Sounders3:3
  • homeMontreal Impact1:0
  • awayAustin1:1
  • awayColumbus Crew0:3

Minnesota United

  • awaySeattle Sounders1:3
  • homeLA Galaxy2:3
  • awaySt. Louis City2:4
  • homeDallas1:2
  • awayPortland Timbers4:5

Head to head

  • 05/14/26MLS1:0
  • 09/28/25MLS1:1
  • 08/10/25MLS2:1
  • 09/29/24MLS0:3
  • 05/26/24MLS3:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Philadelphia Union271161054:4439
13Seattle Sounders27108935:3538
14Colorado Rapids271131338:3836
15LA Galaxy28991037:4436
16Orlando City271041348:6434
17New York City27891041:3633
18Cincinnati2689955:6433
19New York Red Bulls27961234:5133
20San Diego27881147:4732
21Portland Timbers27951348:5132
22Real Salt Lake27951340:4432
23Austin277101035:4731
24DC United26612834:4230
25Columbus Crew27851439:4329
26Minnesota United27781240:4929
27Toronto276111039:5129
28Atlanta United27761432:4527

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.