Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70book 1.48
No41%
ours 2.42book 2.47
All matches
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Colorado Rapids — San Jose Earthquakes, MLS
USA, MLS
Colorado Rapids
1.6LDWDL
San Jose Earthquakes
1.5WDWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%25%31%
Colorado RapidsMarket 1.9444%DrawMarket 3.9025%San Jose EarthquakesMarket 3.8531%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Colorado Rapids2.301.94-8.0
XDraw3.993.90-0.6
2San Jose Earthquakes3.193.85+5.4
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricColorado RapidsSan Jose EarthquakesCombined
Goals scored1.331.673.00
Conceded1.671.002.67
Corners8.511.39.9
Cards2.02.34.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids 44%, San Jose Earthquakes 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Colorado Rapids 44%Draw 25%San Jose Earthquakes 31%
1st half
38 · 36 · 25
2nd half
32 · 39 · 29
Bookmakers: 1.94 · 3.90 · 3.85
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
69%1.25
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Colorado Rapids
- awayLA Galaxy2:3
- homeSeattle Sounders3:3
- homeMontreal Impact1:0
- awayAustin1:1
- awayColumbus Crew0:3
San Jose Earthquakes
- homePortland Timbers3:1
- homeLos Angeles2:2
- homeHouston Dynamo1:0
- awaySan Diego3:2
- awayAustin1:1
Head to head
- 05/11/25MLS0:2
- 03/16/25MLS2:1
- 05/12/24MLS2:3
- 04/14/24MLS3:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Inter Miami271210564:5046
Inter Miami271210564:50466
New England Revolution27144945:3646
New England Revolution27144945:36467San Jose Earthquakes27136849:3945
San Jose Earthquakes27136849:39458
Houston Dynamo27135934:3244
Houston Dynamo27135934:32449
Charlotte27127847:3843
Charlotte27127847:384310
Chicago Fire26126846:3842
Chicago Fire26126846:384211
Los Angeles28118943:3041
Los Angeles28118943:304112
Philadelphia Union271161054:4439
Philadelphia Union271161054:443913
Seattle Sounders27108935:3538
Seattle Sounders27108935:353814Colorado Rapids271131338:3836
Colorado Rapids271131338:383615
LA Galaxy28991037:4436
LA Galaxy28991037:443616
Orlando City271041348:6434
Orlando City271041348:6434Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.