Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.87
No47%
ours 2.14
All matches
Feirense — Portimonense, LigaPro
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%27%31%
Feirense42%Draw27%Portimonense31%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Feirense2.40—
XDraw3.68—
2Portimonense3.20—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Combos — with Premium
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FeirensePortimonense
CD Feirense 42%, Portimonense SC 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
CD Feirense 42%Draw 27%Portimonense SC 31%
1st half
29 · 44 · 27
2nd half
39 · 33 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total fouls: Over 22.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFeirensePortimonenseCombined
Goals scored0.400.400.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Feirense- Winless in 10 matches0:0, 1:2, 0:1, 1:3, 0:2
- Winless at home in 6 matches0:0, 1:3, 0:1, 0:0, 1:2
- Most corners in the league in their matches — 11.0 per match18 teams in the league
Portimonense- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
- Only 2 goals in the last 5 matches0:3, 2:1, 0:2, 0:1, 0:2
- One win in the last 5 matches0:3, 2:1, 0:2, 0:1, 0:2
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Feirense
- homeBenfica II0:0
- awayFarense1:2
- awayChaves0:1
- homeSporting II1:3
- awayAVS0:2
Portimonense
- awaySporting II0:3
- awayAmarante2:1
- homeTondela0:2
- awayLeiria0:1
- homeLeixoes0:2
Head to head
- 01/25/26LigaPro1:0
- 08/15/25LigaPro4:1
- 03/14/25LigaPro2:1
- 10/26/24LigaPro1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Portugal, LigaPro: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.