All matches

Portimonense — Torreense, LigaPro

Portugal, LigaPro

Portimonense
1.3LLLDW
—
Torreense
2.4WDWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
37%25%38%
Portimonense37%Draw25%Torreense38%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Portimonense37%2.72—
XDraw25%4.02—
2Torreense38%2.60—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.79

No44%

ours 2.26

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricPortimonenseTorreenseCombined
Goals scored0.170.330.50
Conceded1.000.171.17
Corners8.812.010.4
Cards2.02.54.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

PortimonenseTorreense

Portimonense SC 37%, SC União Torreense 38%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

Portimonense SC 37%Draw 25%SC União Torreense 38%
1st half
37 · 38 · 24
2nd half
28 · 37 · 36
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Portimonense

  • homeTondela0:2
  • awayLeiria0:1
  • homeLeixoes0:2
  • awayBenfica II1:1
  • homeVizela2:0

Torreense

  • awayLillestrom2:1
  • homeLeixoes0:0
  • awayBenfica II2:0
  • homeVizela0:3
  • awayLusitania Lourosa2:2

Head to head

  • 03/16/26LigaPro0:1
  • 10/30/25LigaPro0:1
  • 02/16/25LigaPro1:2
  • 09/13/24LigaPro2:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Tondela63037:69
10Academica63038:109
11Portimonense62134:67
12AVS61326:66
13Felgueiras61325:66
14Torreense61327:96
15Amarante61235:85
16Chaves61145:134

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.