Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.90
No47%
ours 2.11
All matches
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Amarante — Porto II, LigaPro
Portugal, LigaPro
Amarante
1.8DLWDL
Porto II
1.6DLLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
49%25%26%
Amarante49%Draw25%Porto II26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Amarante2.05—
XDraw3.97—
2Porto II3.84—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAmarantePorto IICombined
Goals scored0.670.501.17
Conceded0.831.332.16
Corners8.87.88.3
Cards1.33.85.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AmarantePorto II
Amarante FC 49%, Porto II 26%. The safest is “Amarante FC or draw” at 77%.
Amarante FC 49%Draw 25%Porto II 26%
1st half
42 · 36 · 22
2nd half
35 · 41 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Amarante
- homeLeiria2:2
- awayLeixoes1:3
- homeBenfica II1:0
- awayVizela0:0
- homeLusitania Lourosa0:1
Porto II
- homeVizela2:2
- awayTondela0:3
- homePenafiel0:3
- awayFeirense1:0
- homeFarense1:3
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13
Felgueiras61325:66
Felgueiras61325:6614
Torreense61327:96
Torreense61327:9615Amarante61235:85
Amarante61235:8516
Chaves61145:134
Chaves61145:13417Porto II61144:134
Porto II61144:13418
Feirense60151:81
Feirense60151:81Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.