Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.88
No47%
ours 2.14
All matches
—
Torreense — Amarante, LigaPro
Portugal, LigaPro
Torreense
2.4WDWLD
Amarante
1.8DLWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
46%25%28%
Torreense46%Draw25%Amarante28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Torreense2.16—
XDraw3.94—
2Amarante3.51—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricTorreenseAmaranteCombined
Goals scored0.670.671.34
Conceded0.171.001.17
Corners10.38.29.3
Cards1.71.22.9
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
TorreenseAmarante
SC União Torreense 46%, Amarante FC 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
SC União Torreense 46%Draw 25%Amarante FC 28%
1st half
36 · 37 · 27
2nd half
34 · 40 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 9.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Torreense
- awayLillestrom2:1
- homeLeixoes0:0
- awayBenfica II2:0
- homeVizela0:3
- awayLusitania Lourosa2:2
Amarante
- homeLeiria2:2
- awayLeixoes1:3
- homeBenfica II1:0
- awayVizela0:0
- homeLusitania Lourosa0:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12
AVS61326:66
AVS61326:6613
Felgueiras61325:66
Felgueiras61325:6614Torreense61327:96
Torreense61327:9615Amarante61235:85
Amarante61235:8516
Chaves61145:134
Chaves61145:13417
Porto II61144:134
Porto II61144:134Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.