Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.80
No44%
ours 2.25
All matches
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Leixoes — Sporting II, LigaPro
Portugal, LigaPro
Leixoes
1.9DWWLW
Sporting II
1.6LWWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
43%25%32%
Leixoes43%Draw25%Sporting II32%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Leixoes2.33—
XDraw3.99—
2Sporting II3.13—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLeixoesSporting IICombined
Goals scored1.171.002.17
Conceded0.831.001.83
Corners10.08.09.0
Cards3.01.84.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
LeixoesSporting II
Leixões SC 43%, Sporting CP II 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Leixões SC 43%Draw 25%Sporting CP II 32%
1st half
38 · 36 · 26
2nd half
29 · 39 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Leixoes
- awayTorreense0:0
- homeAmarante3:1
- awayPortimonense2:0
- homeLeiria2:4
- homeTondela1:0
Sporting II
- homeLusitania Lourosa1:2
- awayFeirense3:1
- homeFarense2:1
- awayPenafiel0:2
- homeChaves1:0
Head to head
- 02/28/26LigaPro1:0
- 10/05/25LigaPro0:4
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Lusitania Lourosa651011:416
Lusitania Lourosa651011:4162
Penafiel641113:513
Penafiel641113:5133Sporting II64028:612
Sporting II64028:6124
Farense632111:511
Farense632111:5115
Vizela63217:411
Vizela63217:4116
Leiria631210:710
Leiria631210:7107Leixoes63128:610
Leixoes63128:6108
Benfica II63127:510
Benfica II63127:5109
Tondela63037:69
Tondela63037:69Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.