All matches

Apollon Limassol — Omonia Aradippou, First Division

Cyprus, First Division

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
74%16%10%
Apollon Limassol74%Draw16%Omonia Aradippou10%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
Available with PremiumUnlock

Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Apollon Limassol74%1.35—
XDraw16%6.20—
2Omonia Aradippou10%9.94—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.89

No47%

ours 2.13

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Apollon LimassolOmonia Aradippou

Apollon Limassol 74%, Omonia FC Aradippou 10%. The safest is “Apollon Limassol or draw” at 90%.

Apollon Limassol 74%Draw 16%Omonia FC Aradippou 10%
1st half
53 · 32 · 15
2nd half
50 · 33 · 17
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total fouls: Over 22.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricApollon LimassolOmonia AradippouCombined
Goals scored2.800.403.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Apollon Limassol
  • 14 goals in the last 5 matches5:0, 4:2, 3:1, 2:2, 0:0
  • Best attack in the league — 19 goals in 7 matches2nd place, 15 points
  • Unbeaten in 7 matches5:0, 4:2, 3:1, 2:2, 0:0
Omonia Aradippou
  • Winless away in 4 matches0:2, 0:1, 1:1, 0:0, 2:1
  • 3 defeats in a row0:2, 0:2, 0:1, 1:1, 1:1
  • Only 2 goals in the last 5 matches0:2, 0:2, 0:1, 1:1, 1:1

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Apollon Limassol

  • awayKarmiotissa5:0
  • homeNea Salamis Famagusta4:2
  • awayKrasava Ypsonas3:1
  • homeAPOEL2:2
  • awayOmonia0:0

Omonia Aradippou

  • awayAnorthosis Famagusta0:2
  • homeAEL Limassol0:2
  • awayAEK Larnaca0:1
  • homeOlympiakos Nicosia1:1
  • awayKarmiotissa1:1

Head to head

  • 01/30/26First Division1:0
  • 10/18/25First Division1:0
  • 02/02/25First Division1:0
  • 10/27/24First Division1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1AEK Larnaca751113:516
2Apollon Limassol743019:815
3AEL Limassol750211:1115
4Omonia733113:612
5Paphos73317:312
6Aris Limassol733110:912
7APOEL732216:911
8Omonia 29 Maiou722312:138

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.