All matches

Apollon Limassol — Omonia 29 Maiou, First Division

Cyprus, First Division

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
84%11%
Apollon Limassol84%Draw11%Omonia 29 Maiou5%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Apollon Limassol84%1.19—
XDraw11%9.12—
2Omonia 29 Maiou5%18.69—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.84

No46%

ours 2.20

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Apollon LimassolOmonia 29 Maiou

Apollon Limassol 84%, ALS Omonia 29is Maiou 5%. The safest is “Apollon Limassol or draw” at 95%.

Apollon Limassol 84%Draw 11%ALS Omonia 29is Maiou 5%
1st half
63 · 25 · 12
2nd half
60 · 28 · 12
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Under 2.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricApollon LimassolOmonia 29 MaiouCombined
Goals scored2.801.404.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Apollon Limassol
  • 14 goals in the last 5 matches5:0, 4:2, 3:1, 2:2, 0:0
  • Best attack in the league — 19 goals in 7 matches2nd place, 15 points
  • Unbeaten in 7 matches5:0, 4:2, 3:1, 2:2, 0:0
Omonia 29 Maiou
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
  • One win in the last 5 matches1:4, 1:0, 1:2, 1:2, 3:3
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 51:4, 1:0, 1:2, 1:2, 3:3

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Apollon Limassol

  • awayKarmiotissa5:0
  • homeNea Salamis Famagusta4:2
  • awayKrasava Ypsonas3:1
  • homeAPOEL2:2
  • awayOmonia0:0

Omonia 29 Maiou

  • awayAPOEL1:4
  • homeAnorthosis Famagusta1:0
  • awayAEL Limassol1:2
  • homeAEK Larnaca1:2
  • awayOlympiakos Nicosia3:3

Head to head

  • 01/25/25First Division1:2
  • 10/20/24First Division2:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1AEK Larnaca751113:516
2Apollon Limassol743019:815
3AEL Limassol750211:1115
4Omonia733113:612
5Paphos73317:312
6Aris Limassol733110:912
7APOEL732216:911
8Omonia 29 Maiou722312:138

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.