All matches

Elbasani — Laci, Superliga

Albania, Superliga

Elbasani
2.3DWLDD
—
Laci
1.6LWLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
43%28%29%
Elbasani43%Draw28%Laci29%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Elbasani43%2.32—
XDraw28%3.54—
2Laci29%3.50—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.79

No44%

ours 2.27

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricElbasaniLaciCombined
Goals scored0.670.501.17
Conceded0.500.501.00
Corners8.08.08.0
Cards0.00.50.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ElbasaniLaci

AF Elbasani 43%, KF Laçi 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

AF Elbasani 43%Draw 28%KF Laçi 29%
1st half
32 · 41 · 27
2nd half
32 · 39 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Under 1.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Elbasani

  • awayTirana2:2
  • homeEgnatia2:1
  • awayDinamo Tirana1:2
  • homeVllaznia1:1
  • awayLaci1:1

Laci

  • awayDinamo Tirana1:3
  • homeVllaznia2:0
  • homeTeuta Durres1:3
  • awayPartizani2:1
  • homeElbasani1:1

Head to head

  • 08/22/26Superliga1:1
  • 03/26/25Superliga1:0
  • 01/26/25Superliga1:2
  • 11/10/24Superliga1:1
  • 09/12/24Superliga1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Egnatia540111:512
3Dinamo Tirana540110:512
4Laci52127:87
5Elbasani51317:76
6Tirana51228:95
7Partizani51137:104

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.