Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.64
No39%
ours 2.55
All matches
—
Elbasani — Partizani, Superliga
Albania, Superliga
Elbasani
2.3DWLDD
Partizani
1.8LLWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%27%26%
Elbasani47%Draw27%Partizani26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Elbasani2.11—
XDraw3.71—
2Partizani3.90—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricElbasaniPartizaniCombined
Goals scored0.831.001.83
Conceded0.831.332.16
Corners8.710.79.7
Cards0.70.31.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
ElbasaniPartizani
AF Elbasani 47%, KF Partizani Tirana 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
AF Elbasani 47%Draw 27%KF Partizani Tirana 26%
1st half
37 · 36 · 27
2nd half
37 · 38 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Elbasani
- awayTirana2:2
- homeEgnatia2:1
- awayDinamo Tirana1:2
- homeVllaznia1:1
- awayLaci1:1
Partizani
- awayEgnatia1:2
- homeDinamo Tirana2:4
- awayVllaznia3:2
- homeLaci1:2
- homeTeuta Durres0:0
Head to head
- 04/13/26Superliga3:0
- 01/31/26Superliga2:2
- 11/28/25Superliga0:0
- 09/20/25Superliga1:0
- 04/27/25Superliga0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Dinamo Tirana540110:512
Dinamo Tirana540110:5124
Laci52127:87
Laci52127:875Elbasani51317:76
Elbasani51317:766
Tirana51228:95
Tirana51228:957Partizani51137:104
Partizani51137:1048
Vora51133:104
Vora51133:1049
Skenderbeu Korce50325:73
Skenderbeu Korce50325:73Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.