Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.87
No46%
ours 2.15
All matches
—
Laci — Egnatia, Superliga
Albania, Superliga
Laci
1.6LWLWD
Egnatia
2.7WLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
37%29%35%
Laci37%Draw29%Egnatia35%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Laci2.74—
XDraw3.47—
2Egnatia2.89—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLaciEgnatiaCombined
Goals scored1.332.003.33
Conceded1.501.172.67
Corners8.69.28.9
Cards0.40.81.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
LaciEgnatia
KF Laçi 37%, KS Egnatia Rrogozhinë 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.
KF Laçi 37%Draw 29%KS Egnatia Rrogozhinë 35%
1st half
33 · 41 · 26
2nd half
27 · 41 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Under 1.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Laci
- awayDinamo Tirana1:3
- homeVllaznia2:0
- homeTeuta Durres1:3
- awayPartizani2:1
- homeElbasani1:1
Egnatia
- homePartizani2:1
- awayElbasani1:2
- homeSkenderbeu Korce2:1
- awayVora3:1
- awayLillestrom1:2
Head to head
- 03/11/25Superliga1:1
- 01/10/25Superliga0:1
- 10/30/24Superliga2:0
- 08/25/24Superliga1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Teuta Durres541010:213
Teuta Durres541010:2132Egnatia540111:512
Egnatia540111:5123
Dinamo Tirana540110:512
Dinamo Tirana540110:5124Laci52127:87
Laci52127:875
Elbasani51317:76
Elbasani51317:766
Tirana51228:95
Tirana51228:95Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.