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Rapid Vienna — LASK, Bundesliga: match prediction and stats

Match prediction and stats

Austria, Bundesliga

2.5WWWWW
  
2.8WLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
40%28%32%
Rapid Vienna40%Draw28%LASK32%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Rapid Vienna40%2.52—
XDraw28%3.54—
2LASK32%3.12—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.62

No38%

ours 2.61

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction opens with Premium.

Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3839 matches

Corners prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3828 matches

Cards prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3818 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Rapid ViennaLASK

SK Rapid Wien 40%, LASK Linz 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.

SK Rapid Wien 40%Draw 28%LASK Linz 32%
1st half
37 · 39 · 24
2nd half
30 · 36 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: No draw

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricRapid ViennaLASKCombined
Goals scored3.202.605.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Rapid Vienna
  • Unbeaten at home in 9 matches5:1, 3:1, 3:0, 3:1, 2:2
  • 16 goals in the last 5 matches5:1, 3:1, 2:0, 3:0, 3:0
  • 5 wins in a row5:1, 3:1, 2:0, 3:0, 3:0
LASK
  • 13 goals in the last 5 matches2:1, 1:3, 3:2, 4:0, 3:6
  • Fewest corners in the league in their matches — 8.8 per match12 teams in the league
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches12 goals conceded

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Rapid Vienna

  • homeAustria Lustenau5:1
  • homeHartberg3:1
  • awayLASK2:0
  • homeWSG Wattens3:0
  • awayWolfsberger AC3:0

LASK

  • homeWSG Wattens2:1
  • homeSalzburg1:3
  • awaySporting CP3:2
  • awayAustria Lustenau4:0
  • homeLiverpool3:6

Head to head

  • 10/11/26Bundesliga2:0
  • 05/04/26Bundesliga1:3
  • 03/22/26Bundesliga4:2
  • 11/30/25Bundesliga0:3
  • 10/19/25Bundesliga0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Rapid Vienna1090131:927
2Salzburg1073024:524
3LASK1171326:1322
4Sturm Graz1053218:1218
5Hartberg1152420:1917

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.