Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.76
No43%
ours 2.31
All matches
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Austria Vienna — Rapid Vienna, Bundesliga
Austria, Bundesliga
Austria Vienna
2.3DWLLD
Rapid Vienna
2.5WWLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
38%26%36%
Austria Vienna38%Draw26%Rapid Vienna36%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Austria Vienna2.62—
XDraw3.84—
2Rapid Vienna2.79—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAustria ViennaRapid ViennaCombined
Goals scored0.671.171.84
Conceded0.670.831.50
Corners8.78.08.3
Cards2.03.05.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Austria ViennaRapid Vienna
FK Austria Wien 38%, SK Rapid Wien 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
FK Austria Wien 38%Draw 26%SK Rapid Wien 36%
1st half
30 · 38 · 32
2nd half
31 · 41 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Austria Vienna
- awayGrazer AK2:2
- homeAustria Lustenau2:1
- homeWSG Wattens0:1
- awaySalzburg1:4
- homeBraga0:0
Rapid Vienna
- homeWSG Wattens3:0
- awayWolfsberger AC3:0
- awaySalzburg1:5
- homeSturm Graz3:1
- homeHearts2:2
Head to head
- 05/10/26Bundesliga2:0
- 04/12/26Bundesliga1:1
- 02/15/26Bundesliga2:0
- 09/28/25Bundesliga3:1
- 05/11/25Bundesliga1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Rapid Vienna760121:718
Rapid Vienna760121:7182
Salzburg752018:417
Salzburg752018:4173
LASK751119:716
LASK751119:7164
Sturm Graz73228:911
Sturm Graz73228:9115
Ried722311:128
Ried722311:1286
Hartberg722310:138
Hartberg722310:1387
WSG Wattens72239:128
WSG Wattens72239:1288
Austria Lustenau72238:118
Austria Lustenau72238:1189
Grazer AK72236:168
Grazer AK72236:16810Austria Vienna72147:137
Austria Vienna72147:13711
Wolfsberger AC71247:135
Wolfsberger AC71247:13512
Rheindorf Altach71065:123
Rheindorf Altach71065:123Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.