Both teams to score
Yes61%
Fair price 1.65
No39%
Fair price 2.53
All matches
Brann vs Braga prediction
Europe, UEFA Europa Conference League · UTC
VARStats prediction for 10 December: Braga 48%, Brann 28%, draw 24%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
28%24%48%
Brann28%Draw24%Braga48%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
Available with PremiumUnlock
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Brann3.59—
XDraw4.08—
2Braga2.10—
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Most likely score
The three most likely scores according to the model. A probability, not a guarantee.
- 1:1
- 1:2
- 0:1
How the model reads the match
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
BrannBraga
Brann 28%Draw 24%Braga 48%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium
3 days free →More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots on target: Under 10.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
3 days free →Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBrannBragaCombined
Goals scored2.401.203.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other nine metrics — with Premium
3 days free →Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Brann- 12 goals in the last 5 matches2:2, 1:1, 3:2, 2:3, 4:1
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 52:2, 1:1, 3:2, 2:3, 4:1
Braga- 4 clean sheets in the last 51:0, 0:0, 3:0, 0:1, 2:0
- 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5
- 0.5 goals per game away8 matches
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Brann
- awayFredrikstad2:2
- awaySint-Truiden1:1
- homeMolde3:2
- awayLillestrom2:3
- awayKauno Zalgiris4:1
Braga
- awayRio Ave1:0
- awayAGF Aarhus0:0
- homeFamalicao3:0
- awayNacional0:1
- homeGent2:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
More matches in this competition
Europe, UEFA Europa Conference League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
3 days free →Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.