Both teams to score
Yes49%
ours 2.05
No51%
ours 1.95
All matches
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Braga — Gent, UEFA Europa Conference League
Europe, UEFA Europa Conference League
Braga
3.5DWLWW
Gent
2.3WDWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
64%22%14%
Braga64%Draw22%Gent14%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Braga1.56—
XDraw4.61—
2Gent7.06—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBragaGentCombined
Goals scored0.331.171.50
Conceded0.330.330.66
Corners10.010.810.4
Cards1.31.83.1
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
BragaGent
Sporting Braga 64%, KAA Gent 14%. The safest is “Sporting Braga or draw” at 86%.
Sporting Braga 64%Draw 22%KAA Gent 14%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Braga
- awaySanta Clara0:0
- homeEstoril1:0
- awayEstrela Amadora1:2
- awayAlverca2:1
- homeVitoria Guimaraes1:0
Gent
- homeStandard Liege2:1
- awayGenk1:1
- awayCercle Brugge3:0
- homeOH Leuven1:0
- homeClub Brugge2:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Copenhagen642017:614
Copenhagen642017:6146
Lugano642013:514
Lugano642013:5147Braga64208:014
Braga64208:0148
Riga642012:614
Riga642012:6149
Borac Banja Luka641114:713
Borac Banja Luka641114:71310
Inter Turku834111:1013
Inter Turku834111:101311
Drita633014:512
Drita633014:51212
Midtjylland440011:312
Midtjylland440011:31213
Jablonec64029:512
Jablonec64029:51214
Panathinaikos633011:812
Panathinaikos633011:81215
Dinamo Tirana832315:911
Dinamo Tirana832315:91116
Rakow632112:611
Rakow632112:61117
Brann632113:911
Brann632113:91118
Hajduk Split431014:610
Hajduk Split431014:61019
Shkendija631211:510
Shkendija631211:51020
RFS631210:710
RFS631210:71021
Motherwell631210:810
Motherwell631210:81022
Austria Vienna63128:610
Austria Vienna63128:61023Gent62405:310
Gent62405:31024
Rijeka63125:710
Rijeka63125:71025
Levadia430113:49
Levadia430113:49Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.