All matches

Lillestrom — Brann, Eliteserien

Norway, Eliteserien

Lillestrom
1.5LLWWL
—
Brann
2.6WLLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
34%23%43%
Lillestrom34%Draw23%Brann43%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Lillestrom34%2.97—
XDraw23%4.30—
2Brann43%2.32—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

ours 1.67

No40%

ours 2.49

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricLillestromBrannCombined
Goals scored0.170.330.50
Conceded0.830.501.33
Corners13.012.512.8
Cards1.02.53.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

LillestromBrann

Lillestrøm SK 34%, SK Brann 43%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

Lillestrøm SK 34%Draw 23%SK Brann 43%
1st half
35 · 36 · 29
2nd half
28 · 38 · 35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 4.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Lillestrom

  • awayViking0:3
  • homeTorreense1:2
  • homeVålerenga Fotball2:0
  • awayBrann2:1
  • homeFredrikstad1:4

Brann

  • homeBodo/Glimt2:1
  • awayIK Start0:2
  • homeLillestrom1:2
  • awaySandefjord0:0
  • homePAOK3:2

Head to head

  • 09/05/26Eliteserien2:1
  • 11/09/24Eliteserien1:2
  • 05/12/24Eliteserien0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Molde21113744:3236
5Rosenborg21103839:3033
6Lillestrom21102928:2932
7Brann21921039:3229
8Fredrikstad2184925:3228
9Sarpsborg 082167824:2925

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.