Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.63
No39%
ours 2.59
All matches
—
Kristiansund — Aalesunds FK, Eliteserien
Norway, Eliteserien
Kristiansund
1.4LLWDL
Aalesunds FK
1.7WLWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
36%23%40%
KristiansundMarket 2.3036%DrawMarket 3.8323%Aalesunds FKMarket 2.8540%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kristiansund2.752.30-7.2
XDraw4.273.83-2.7
2Aalesunds FK2.482.85+5.2
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 1031 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 1030 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 1023 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
KristiansundAalesunds FK
Kristiansund BK 36%, Aalesunds FK 40%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Kristiansund BK 36%Draw 23%Aalesunds FK 40%
1st half
30 · 33 · 37
2nd half
38 · 35 · 27
Bookmakers: 2.30 · 3.83 · 2.85
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 9.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKristiansundAalesunds FKCombined
Goals scored1.001.832.83
Conceded2.331.674.00
Corners11.614.212.9
Cards1.43.04.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Kristiansund
- homeRosenborg1:3
- awayViking1:8
- homeTromso2:0
- awayHamKam2:2
- awayFredrikstad0:1
Aalesunds FK
- awayMolde2:1
- awayKFUM1:2
- homeIK Start2:0
- awayViking1:2
- homeVålerenga Fotball5:5
Head to head
- 04/26/26Eliteserien1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12
Vålerenga Fotball21651034:4323
Vålerenga Fotball21651034:432313
HamKam21651029:4423
HamKam21651029:442314Aalesunds FK2149833:4621
Aalesunds FK2149833:462115Kristiansund21541221:4019
Kristiansund21541221:401916
IK Start21441322:4416
IK Start21441322:4416Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.