All matches

FK Bodo - Glimt — Kristiansund BK, Eliteserien

Norway, Eliteserien

FK Bodo - Glimt
4.0LLWWW
—
Kristiansund BK
1.4LLWDL
Outcome probability
90
FK Bodo - Glimt90%Draw6%Kristiansund BK4%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FK Bodo - Glimt90%1.11—
XDraw6%15.67—
2Kristiansund BK4%27.93—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes39%

ours 2.57

No61%

ours 1.64

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFK Bodo - GlimtKristiansund BKCombined
Goals scored1.671.333.00
Conceded1.672.504.17
Corners9.211.810.5
Cards0.81.52.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    FK Bodo - GlimtKristiansund BK
    2Table position15
    48.00%Possession42.30%
    14Days of rest14
    0Matches in 14 days0
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Home advantage and current form favour FK Bodo - Glimt: a home win is rated at 90%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Most cards: Away

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

FK Bodo - Glimt

  • awaySK Brann1:2
  • awayFC Bayern München0:5
  • awayFredrikstad FK2:1
  • homeRosenborg BK4:2
  • homeNijmegen Eendracht Combinatie3:0

Kristiansund BK

  • homeRosenborg BK1:3
  • awayViking FK1:8
  • homeTromsø IL2:0
  • awayHamarkameratene Fotball2:2
  • awayFredrikstad FK0:1

Head to head

  • 04/06/26Eliteserien3:0
  • 09/12/25Eliteserien7:1
  • 07/05/25Eliteserien1:1
  • 09/29/24Eliteserien4:0
  • 05/12/24Eliteserien4:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Viking FK21162354:2050
2FK Bodo - Glimt20152350:1747
3Tromsø IL21115540:2938
4Molde FK21113744:3236
5Rosenborg BK21103839:3033
6Lillestrøm SK21102928:2932
7SK Brann21921039:3229
8Fredrikstad FK2184925:3228
9Sarpsborg 08 FF2167824:2925
10KFUM Fotball21741025:3525
11Sandefjord Fotball2065919:2423
12Vålerenga Fotball21651034:4323
13Hamarkameratene Fotball21651029:4423
14Aalesunds2149833:4621
15Kristiansund BK21541221:4019
16IK Start21441322:4416

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.