All matches

Kristiansund — KFUM, Eliteserien

Norway, Eliteserien

Kristiansund
1.4LLWDL
—
KFUM
1.5WWLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
41%25%34%
Kristiansund41%Draw25%KFUM34%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kristiansund41%2.42—
XDraw25%4.05—
2KFUM34%2.94—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.81

No45%

ours 2.23

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKristiansundKFUMCombined
Goals scored1.001.002.00
Conceded2.171.333.50
Corners11.511.511.5
Cards1.01.82.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

KristiansundKFUM

Kristiansund BK 41%, KFUM Fotball 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Kristiansund BK 41%Draw 25%KFUM Fotball 34%
1st half
34 · 38 · 28
2nd half
32 · 40 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Kristiansund

  • homeRosenborg1:3
  • awayViking1:8
  • homeTromso2:0
  • awayHamKam2:2
  • awayFredrikstad0:1

KFUM

  • awaySarpsborg 083:1
  • homeAalesunds2:1
  • awayMolde0:2
  • awayIK Start1:4
  • homeLillestrom1:1

Head to head

  • 08/02/26Eliteserien1:2
  • 10/19/25Eliteserien1:1
  • 07/26/25Eliteserien0:5
  • 11/23/24Eliteserien2:1
  • 04/07/24Eliteserien1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Fredrikstad2184925:3228
9Sarpsborg 082167824:2925
10KFUM21741025:3525
11Sandefjord2065919:2423
12Vålerenga Fotball21651034:4323
13HamKam21651029:4423
14Aalesunds2149833:4621
15Kristiansund21541221:4019
16IK Start21441322:4416

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.