All matches

KFUM vs Brann prediction

Norway, Eliteserien

VARStats prediction for 22 November: Brann 43%, KFUM 32%, draw 25%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

1.7DDDWW
  
2.2WLWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
32%25%43%
KFUM32%Draw25%Brann43%

Brann play in the Conference League in 4 days. Squad rotation is possible — check the line-ups about an hour before kick-off.

Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1KFUM32%3.10—
XDraw25%4.05—
2Brann43%2.33—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

Fair price 1.73

No42%

Fair price 2.37

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4542 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4527 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4514 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

KFUMBrann

KFUM Fotball 32%, SK Brann 43%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

KFUM Fotball 32%Draw 25%SK Brann 43%
1st half
33 · 37 · 30
2nd half
25 · 34 · 41
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total fouls: Over 20.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKFUMBrannCombined
Goals scored2.002.404.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

KFUM
  • schedule14 days’ rest
  • Unbeaten at home in 5 matches2:2, 2:1, 2:1, 1:1, 2:1
  • Fewest corners in the league in their matches — 8.2 per match16 teams in the league
  • Unbeaten in 6 matches2:2, 2:2, 1:1, 2:1, 3:1
Brann
  • schedule14 days’ rest
  • 12 goals in the last 5 matches3:2, 2:3, 4:1, 1:3, 2:1
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches10 goals conceded
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 53:2, 2:3, 4:1, 1:3, 2:1

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

KFUM

  • homeHamKam2:2
  • awayKristiansund2:2
  • awayTromso1:1
  • homeVålerenga Fotball2:1
  • awaySarpsborg 083:1

Brann

  • homeMolde3:2
  • awayLillestrom2:3
  • awayKauno Zalgiris4:1
  • awayVålerenga Fotball1:3
  • homeLincoln Red Imps2:1

Head to head

  • 05/16/26Eliteserien1:2
  • 11/09/25Eliteserien1:1
  • 07/19/25Eliteserien2:0
  • 09/18/24Eliteserien0:2
  • 04/28/24Eliteserien0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Lillestrom25133936:3342
6Tromso25117743:3840
7Brann251021345:4232
8Vålerenga Fotball25951143:4632
9Sarpsborg 0825871032:3931
10KFUM25871032:4131
11Fredrikstad25851229:4429
12Sandefjord24761124:3127

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.