Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.76
No43%
ours 2.31
All matches
Celta Vigo vs Villarreal prediction
VARStats prediction for 29 November: Villarreal 42%, Celta Vigo 31%, draw 27%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
31%27%42%
Celta Vigo31%Draw27%Villarreal42%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Celta Vigo3.24—
XDraw3.75—
2Villarreal2.36—
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches
Cards prediction
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Celta VigoVillarreal
Real Club Celta de Vigo 31%, Villarreal CF 42%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.
Real Club Celta de Vigo 31%Draw 27%Villarreal CF 42%
1st half
25 · 40 · 35
2nd half
31 · 34 · 35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total fouls: Over 20.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCelta VigoVillarrealCombined
Goals scored1.001.602.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Celta Vigo- Fewest shots in the league — 9.8 per match20 teams in the league
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches7 goals conceded
- 6 draws in 11 matches — most in the league9th place, 12 points
Villarreal- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches7 goals conceded
- 2nd in the league for corners — 11.7 per match20 teams in the league
- Played in Europe this week
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Celta Vigo
- awayRayo Vallecano0:3
- homeReal Betis0:0
- awayCeltic2:1
- homeAlaves2:1
- homeJuventus1:2
Villarreal
- homeEspanyol0:1
- awayValencia2:1
- awayLiverpool3:4
- homeElche0:0
- homeNapoli3:1
Head to head
- 04/26/26La Liga1:2
- 08/31/25La Liga1:1
- 04/23/25La Liga3:0
- 08/26/24La Liga3:4
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Spain, La Liga: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.