Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.95
No49%
ours 2.05
All matches
Nafta Lendava — Olimpija Ljubljana, PrvaLiga
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
22%28%50%
Nafta Lendava22%Draw28%Olimpija Ljubljana50%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Nafta Lendava4.59—
XDraw3.60—
2Olimpija Ljubljana1.98—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3839 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3828 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3818 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Nafta LendavaOlimpija Ljubljana
NK Nafta 1903 Lendava 22%, NK Olimpija Ljubljana 50%. The safest is “NK Olimpija Ljubljana or draw” at 78%.
NK Nafta 1903 Lendava 22%Draw 28%NK Olimpija Ljubljana 50%
1st half
23 · 36 · 40
2nd half
24 · 35 · 41
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots: Over 21.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricNafta LendavaOlimpija LjubljanaCombined
Goals scored0.601.802.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Nafta Lendava- 3 clean sheets in the last 50:0, 0:0, 1:0, 0:2, 2:1
- 2nd in the league for corners — 9.8 per match10 teams in the league
- 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5
Olimpija Ljubljana- Most shots on target in the league — 4.8 per match10 teams in the league
- Won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings1:0, 1:1, 3:0, 1:0, 2:0
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches7 goals conceded
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Nafta Lendava
- homeAluminij0:0
- awayNS Mura0:0
- homeBravo1:0
- awayKoper0:2
- awayBrinje-Grosuplje2:1
Olimpija Ljubljana
- homeCelje1:1
- awayAluminij1:0
- homeNS Mura3:3
- awayBravo1:2
- awayKoper3:1
Head to head
- 08/21/26PrvaLiga0:1
- 04/12/25PrvaLiga1:1
- 02/16/25PrvaLiga0:3
- 10/19/24PrvaLiga0:1
- 08/05/24PrvaLiga0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Slovenia, PrvaLiga: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.