Both teams to score
Yes62%
ours 1.61
No38%
ours 2.65
All matches
—
Nafta Lendava — Aluminij, PrvaLiga
Slovenia, PrvaLiga
Nafta Lendava
1.3LWWLL
Aluminij
1.5DWDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%25%33%
Nafta Lendava42%Draw25%Aluminij33%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Nafta Lendava2.38—
XDraw4.00—
2Aluminij3.04—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricNafta LendavaAluminijCombined
Goals scored1.171.332.50
Conceded1.170.832.00
Corners9.312.811.0
Cards1.52.33.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Nafta LendavaAluminij
NK Nafta 1903 Lendava 42%, NK Aluminij 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
NK Nafta 1903 Lendava 42%Draw 25%NK Aluminij 33%
1st half
36 · 33 · 31
2nd half
36 · 36 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Nafta Lendava
- awayKoper0:2
- awayBrinje-Grosuplje2:1
- homeRadomlje3:1
- homeMaribor2:3
- awayOlimpija Ljubljana0:1
Aluminij
- awayMaribor2:2
- awayNS Mura6:1
- homeBravo0:0
- homeCelje0:2
- homeKoper0:1
Head to head
- 08/09/26PrvaLiga1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Bravo1053212:1018
Bravo1053212:10184
Olimpija Ljubljana1042410:814
Olimpija Ljubljana1042410:8145Aluminij1034316:1113
Aluminij1034316:11136Nafta Lendava1041517:1613
Nafta Lendava1041517:16137
Celje933311:1112
Celje933311:11128
Brinje-Grosuplje1032514:1811
Brinje-Grosuplje1032514:1811Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.