All matches

Brinje-Grosuplje — Bravo, PrvaLiga

Slovenia, PrvaLiga

Brinje-Grosuplje
1.8WLLWL
—
Bravo
2.7WWDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
36%25%39%
Brinje-Grosuplje36%Draw25%Bravo39%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Brinje-Grosuplje36%2.78—
XDraw25%3.97—
2Bravo39%2.57—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.68

No41%

ours 2.46

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricBrinje-GrosupljeBravoCombined
Goals scored1.171.002.17
Conceded1.170.331.50
Corners7.58.07.8
Cards1.33.54.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Brinje-GrosupljeBravo

NK Brinje-Grosuplje 36%, AŠK Bravo Publikum 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

NK Brinje-Grosuplje 36%Draw 25%AŠK Bravo Publikum 39%
1st half
38 · 31 · 31
2nd half
31 · 39 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Brinje-Grosuplje

  • homeRadomlje2:1
  • homeNafta Lendava1:2
  • awayOlimpija Ljubljana0:3
  • homeCelje4:1
  • awayAluminij2:4

Bravo

  • homeOlimpija Ljubljana2:1
  • homeCelje2:1
  • awayAluminij0:0
  • homeNS Mura2:0
  • awayMaribor1:3

Head to head

  • 08/09/26PrvaLiga1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Maribor1055019:820
2Koper1053211:818
3Bravo1053212:1018
4Olimpija Ljubljana1042410:814
5Aluminij1034316:1113
6Nafta Lendava1041517:1613
7Celje933311:1112
8Brinje-Grosuplje1032514:1811
9NS Mura1023510:219
10Radomlje91269:185

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.