Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.77
No43%
ours 2.30
All matches
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NS Mura — Brinje-Grosuplje, PrvaLiga
Slovenia, PrvaLiga
NS Mura
1.0DLDLL
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.8WLLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
37%26%37%
NS Mura37%Draw26%Brinje-Grosuplje37%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1NS Mura2.69—
XDraw3.87—
2Brinje-Grosuplje2.70—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricNS MuraBrinje-GrosupljeCombined
Goals scored0.330.500.83
Conceded1.171.002.17
Corners6.77.77.2
Cards3.31.75.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
NS MuraBrinje-Grosuplje
NŠ Mura 37%, NK Brinje-Grosuplje 37%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
NŠ Mura 37%Draw 26%NK Brinje-Grosuplje 37%
1st half
35 · 33 · 32
2nd half
33 · 40 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
NS Mura
- homeCelje0:0
- homeAluminij1:6
- awayMaribor1:1
- awayBravo0:2
- homeKoper0:1
Brinje-Grosuplje
- homeRadomlje2:1
- homeNafta Lendava1:2
- awayOlimpija Ljubljana0:3
- homeCelje4:1
- awayAluminij2:4
Head to head
- 08/16/26PrvaLiga2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Nafta Lendava1041517:1613
Nafta Lendava1041517:16137
Celje933311:1112
Celje933311:11128Brinje-Grosuplje1032514:1811
Brinje-Grosuplje1032514:18119NS Mura1023510:219
NS Mura1023510:21910
Radomlje91269:185
Radomlje91269:185Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.