Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.76
No43%
ours 2.32
All matches
—
Olimpija Ljubljana — Celje, PrvaLiga
Slovenia, PrvaLiga
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.7LWWDW
Celje
2.9DLLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%26%32%
Olimpija Ljubljana42%Draw26%Celje32%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Olimpija Ljubljana2.35—
XDraw3.85—
2Celje3.17—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricOlimpija LjubljanaCeljeCombined
Goals scored1.170.001.17
Conceded0.500.330.83
Corners9.08.08.5
Cards3.01.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Olimpija LjubljanaCelje
NK Olimpija Ljubljana 42%, NK Celje 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
NK Olimpija Ljubljana 42%Draw 26%NK Celje 32%
1st half
39 · 35 · 26
2nd half
32 · 39 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Olimpija Ljubljana
- awayBravo1:2
- awayKoper3:1
- homeBrinje-Grosuplje3:0
- awayRadomlje0:0
- homeNafta Lendava1:0
Celje
- awayNS Mura0:0
- awayBayer Leverkusen0:2
- awayBravo1:2
- homeKoper0:1
- awayAluminij2:0
Head to head
- 08/08/26PrvaLiga0:1
- 04/15/26PrvaLiga0:2
- 02/08/26PrvaLiga3:1
- 10/18/25PrvaLiga0:0
- 08/03/25PrvaLiga0:5
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Koper1053211:818
Koper1053211:8183
Bravo1053212:1018
Bravo1053212:10184Olimpija Ljubljana1042410:814
Olimpija Ljubljana1042410:8145
Aluminij1034316:1113
Aluminij1034316:11136
Nafta Lendava1041517:1613
Nafta Lendava1041517:16137Celje933311:1112
Celje933311:11128
Brinje-Grosuplje1032514:1811
Brinje-Grosuplje1032514:18119
NS Mura1023510:219
NS Mura1023510:219Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.