Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.90
No47%
ours 2.11
All matches
—
Neom — Abha, Professional League
Saudi Arabia, Professional League
Neom
2.0WWWLL
Abha
1.6DLLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
53%25%21%
Neom53%Draw25%Abha21%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Neom1.87—
XDraw3.94—
2Abha4.73—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricNeomAbhaCombined
Goals scored1.500.171.67
Conceded0.330.500.83
Corners9.37.38.3
Cards2.32.34.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
NeomAbha
Neom SC 53%, Abha Club 21%. The safest is “Neom SC or draw” at 78%.
Neom SC 53%Draw 25%Abha Club 21%
1st half
44 · 40 · 16
2nd half
32 · 41 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Neom
- homeAl Fateh4:2
- awayAl Hilal2:0
- homeAl Khaleej3:0
- awayAl Riyadh0:1
- homeAl Qadisiyah0:2
Abha
- awayAl Draih0:0
- awayAl Nassr1:2
- homeAl Ittifaq0:1
- awayAl Feiha2:3
- homeAl Khaleej1:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Al Nassr751116:716
Al Nassr751116:7164
Al Qadisiyah751116:816
Al Qadisiyah751116:8165Neom750213:615
Neom750213:6156
Al Ahli Jeddah740316:1012
Al Ahli Jeddah740316:10127
Al Kholood733112:1012
Al Kholood733112:10128
Al Draih73227:511
Al Draih73227:5119
Al Ittifaq732211:1111
Al Ittifaq732211:111110
Al Hazm72237:98
Al Hazm72237:9811
Al Riyadh72238:168
Al Riyadh72238:16812
Al Feiha71337:116
Al Feiha71337:11613
Al Khaleej70523:105
Al Khaleej70523:10514
Al Shabab70436:114
Al Shabab70436:11415
Al Fateh70344:113
Al Fateh70344:11316
Al Faisaly70345:133
Al Faisaly70345:13317
Al Taawon70343:123
Al Taawon70343:12318Abha70255:132
Abha70255:132Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.