All matches

Al Ahli Jeddah — Al Taawon, Professional League

Saudi Arabia, Professional League

Al Ahli Jeddah
3.4WLWLL
—
Al Taawon
1.8LLDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
68%20%12%
Al Ahli Jeddah68%Draw20%Al Taawon12%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Ahli Jeddah68%1.47—
XDraw20%4.91—
2Al Taawon12%8.51—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.77

No43%

ours 2.30

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAl Ahli JeddahAl TaawonCombined
Goals scored0.500.000.50
Conceded0.171.001.17
Corners9.06.07.5
Cards0.01.01.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Al Ahli JeddahAl Taawon

Al Ahli SC Jeddah 68%, Al Taawon FC 12%. The safest is “Al Ahli SC Jeddah or draw” at 84%.

Al Ahli SC Jeddah 68%Draw 20%Al Taawon FC 12%
1st half
47 · 36 · 17
2nd half
40 · 37 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 10.5

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Al Ahli Jeddah

  • homeAl Hazm3:1
  • awayAl Qadisiyah2:3
  • homeAl Riyadh5:0
  • awayAl Hilal0:3
  • awayAl Kholood1:3

Al Taawon

  • homeAl Hilal0:6
  • awayAl Hazm0:1
  • homeAl Fateh0:0
  • awayAl Nassr1:2
  • homeAl Feiha0:0

Head to head

  • 05/11/26Professional League2:1
  • 01/14/26Professional League2:1
  • 05/07/25Professional League2:0
  • 12/07/24Professional League4:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Al Qadisiyah751116:816
5Neom750213:615
6Al Ahli Jeddah740316:1012
7Al Kholood733112:1012
8Al Draih73227:511
9Al Ittifaq732211:1111
10Al Hazm72237:98
11Al Riyadh72238:168
12Al Feiha71337:116
13Al Khaleej70523:105
14Al Shabab70436:114
15Al Fateh70344:113
16Al Faisaly70345:133
17Al Taawon70343:123
18Abha70255:132

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.