All matches

Al Hazm — Neom, Professional League

Saudi Arabia, Professional League

Al Hazm
1.8LWDDL
—
Neom
2.0WWWLL
Outcome probability
292744
Al Hazm29%Draw27%Neom44%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Hazm29%23%3.494.28+5.3
XDraw27%25%3.683.96+2.0
2Neom44%58%2.261.71-14.2

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes47%

ours 2.14book 1.66

No53%

ours 1.88book 2.07

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAl HazmNeomCombined
Goals scored0.831.832.66
Conceded1.330.832.16
Corners9.27.78.4
Cards2.31.53.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Al HazmNeom

Al Hazm 29%, Neom SC 44%. The safest is “Neom SC or draw” at 77%.

Al Hazm 29%Draw 27%Neom SC 44%
1st half
16 · 47 · 37
2nd half
25 · 40 · 35

Bookmakers: 4.28 · 3.96 · 1.71

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: No draw

70%1.20
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Al Hazm

  • awayAl Ahli Jeddah1:3
  • homeAl Taawon1:0
  • awayAl Faisaly0:0
  • homeAl Shabab1:1
  • awayAl Ittihad2:3

Neom

  • homeAl Fateh4:2
  • awayAl Hilal2:0
  • homeAl Khaleej3:0
  • awayAl Riyadh0:1
  • homeAl Qadisiyah0:2

Head to head

  • 04/28/26Professional League1:1
  • 01/04/26Professional League1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Al Nassr751116:716
4Al Qadisiyah751116:816
5Neom750213:615
6Al Ahli Jeddah740316:1012
7Al Kholood733112:1012
8Al Draih73227:511
9Al Ittifaq732211:1111
10Al Hazm72237:98
11Al Riyadh72238:168
12Al Feiha71337:116

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.