All matches

Neom — Al Ittifaq, Professional League

Saudi Arabia, Professional League

Neom
2.0WWWLL
—
Al Ittifaq
2.1DDWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
46%26%28%
Neom46%Draw26%Al Ittifaq28%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Neom46%2.17—
XDraw26%3.86—
2Al Ittifaq28%3.56—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.79

No44%

ours 2.27

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricNeomAl IttifaqCombined
Goals scored1.501.002.50
Conceded0.831.502.33
Corners8.47.88.1
Cards1.82.03.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

NeomAl Ittifaq

Neom SC 46%, Al Ittifaq FC Dammam 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

Neom SC 46%Draw 26%Al Ittifaq FC Dammam 28%
1st half
42 · 39 · 19
2nd half
30 · 39 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Neom

  • homeAl Fateh4:2
  • awayAl Hilal2:0
  • homeAl Khaleej3:0
  • awayAl Riyadh0:1
  • homeAl Qadisiyah0:2

Al Ittifaq

  • awayAl Qadisiyah3:3
  • homeAl Faisaly0:0
  • awayAbha1:0
  • homeAl Draih0:3
  • homeAl Nassr2:3

Head to head

  • 05/21/26Professional League1:1
  • 01/21/26Professional League0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Al Nassr751116:716
4Al Qadisiyah751116:816
5Neom750213:615
6Al Ahli Jeddah740316:1012
7Al Kholood733112:1012
8Al Draih73227:511
9Al Ittifaq732211:1111
10Al Hazm72237:98
11Al Riyadh72238:168

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.