Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.76
No43%
ours 2.32
All matches
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Al Kholood — Al Khaleej, Professional League
Saudi Arabia, Professional League
Al Kholood
1.4LWDWD
Al Khaleej
1.2DDLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
49%25%25%
Al Kholood49%Draw25%Al Khaleej25%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Kholood2.03—
XDraw3.94—
2Al Khaleej3.95—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAl KholoodAl KhaleejCombined
Goals scored0.000.170.17
Conceded0.330.170.50
Corners11.014.012.5
Cards2.04.06.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Al KholoodAl Khaleej
Al Kholood Club 49%, Al Khaleej Saihat 25%. The safest is “Al Kholood Club or draw” at 74%.
Al Kholood Club 49%Draw 25%Al Khaleej Saihat 25%
1st half
40 · 37 · 23
2nd half
33 · 40 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Al Kholood
- awayAl Riyadh0:2
- homeAl Shabab2:1
- awayAl Feiha2:2
- homeAl Ahli Jeddah3:1
- awayAl Draih1:1
Al Khaleej
- homeAl Nassr1:1
- homeAl Riyadh0:0
- awayNeom0:3
- homeAl Hilal1:5
- awayAbha1:1
Head to head
- 04/03/26Professional League2:2
- 02/24/26Professional League3:2
- 03/01/25Professional League2:1
- 10/04/24Professional League0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Neom750213:615
Neom750213:6156
Al Ahli Jeddah740316:1012
Al Ahli Jeddah740316:10127Al Kholood733112:1012
Al Kholood733112:10128
Al Draih73227:511
Al Draih73227:5119
Al Ittifaq732211:1111
Al Ittifaq732211:111110
Al Hazm72237:98
Al Hazm72237:9811
Al Riyadh72238:168
Al Riyadh72238:16812
Al Feiha71337:116
Al Feiha71337:11613Al Khaleej70523:105
Al Khaleej70523:10514
Al Shabab70436:114
Al Shabab70436:11415
Al Fateh70344:113
Al Fateh70344:113Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.