Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.79
No44%
ours 2.26
All matches
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Abha — Al Shabab, Professional League
Saudi Arabia, Professional League
Abha
1.6DLLLD
Al Shabab
1.7DLLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
40%26%34%
Abha40%Draw26%Al Shabab34%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Abha2.53—
XDraw3.84—
2Al Shabab2.91—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAbhaAl ShababCombined
Goals scored0.000.000.00
Conceded0.000.000.00
Corners8.09.08.5
Cards3.01.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AbhaAl Shabab
Abha Club 40%, Al Shabab FC Riyadh 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Abha Club 40%Draw 26%Al Shabab FC Riyadh 34%
1st half
29 · 40 · 31
2nd half
31 · 40 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Abha
- awayAl Draih0:0
- awayAl Nassr1:2
- homeAl Ittifaq0:1
- awayAl Feiha2:3
- homeAl Khaleej1:1
Al Shabab
- homeAl Feiha0:0
- awayAl Kholood1:2
- homeAl Hilal0:2
- awayAl Hazm1:1
- homeAl Riyadh3:3
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12
Al Feiha71337:116
Al Feiha71337:11613
Al Khaleej70523:105
Al Khaleej70523:10514Al Shabab70436:114
Al Shabab70436:11415
Al Fateh70344:113
Al Fateh70344:11316
Al Faisaly70345:133
Al Faisaly70345:13317
Al Taawon70343:123
Al Taawon70343:12318Abha70255:132
Abha70255:132Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.