Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.97
No49%
ours 2.03
All matches
Linfield — Coleraine, Premiership
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
34%24%42%
Linfield34%Draw24%Coleraine42%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Linfield2.93—
XDraw4.17—
2Coleraine2.39—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
LinfieldColeraine
Linfield FC 34%, Coleraine FC 42%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Linfield FC 34%Draw 24%Coleraine FC 42%
1st half
30 · 46 · 24
2nd half
28 · 36 · 36
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 3.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLinfieldColeraineCombined
Goals scored2.202.604.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Linfield- Unbeaten in 12 matches2:1, 2:1, 2:2, 2:0, 3:1
- Unbeaten at home in 5 matches2:0, 1:0, 1:0, 1:0, 2:1
- Best defence in the league — 10 conceded in 13 matches2nd place, 32 points
Coleraine- Unbeaten away in 7 matches5:0, 3:2, 3:2, 2:1, 3:0
- 4 wins in a row5:0, 3:2, 1:0, 3:2, 1:3
- Best attack in the league — 31 goals in 13 matches1st place, 34 points
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Linfield
- awayPortadown2:1
- awayLarne2:1
- awayCarrick Rangers2:2
- homeBangor2:0
- awayColeraine3:1
Coleraine
- awayCrusaders5:0
- awayLarne3:2
- homeCliftonville1:0
- awayBangor3:2
- homeLinfield1:3
Head to head
- 09/25/26Premiership3:1
- 04/18/26Premiership0:3
- 12/30/25Premiership1:3
- 11/08/25Premiership1:1
- 10/28/25Premiership2:2
More matches in this competition
Northern Ireland, Premiership: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.