All matches

Larne 1:1 Limavady United, Premiership

Northern Ireland, PremiershipMatch finished

3.1DWLLW
1:1HT 0:0
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
77%13%
LarneMarket 1.1577%DrawMarket 6.1013%Limavady UnitedMarket 12.0010%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.84xG0.56
55Possession, %45
17Shots4
4Shots on target2
9Corners2
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
11Fouls5
2Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

0 of 3
Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast markets: landed 191 of 258void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Larne77%

    Actual: Draw — we had 13%

  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.555%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 45%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No53%

    Actual: Yes — we had 48%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Larne77%78%1.301.15-0.7
XDraw13%15%7.556.10-1.4
2Limavady United10%7%10.4712.00+2.1

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Form and context

Larne

  • homeLimavady United1:1
  • awayBangor2:1
  • homeLinfield1:2
  • homeColeraine2:3
  • awayCrusaders3:0

Limavady United

  • awayLarne1:1
  • awayCarrick Rangers1:1
  • awayGlentoran0:1
  • homeBallymena United3:2
  • awayPortadown2:2

Head to head

  • 10/27/26Premiership1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Coleraine13111131:1234
2Linfield13102120:1032
3Larne1172221:1023
4Glentoran1262416:1020
5Carrick Rangers1353522:2018
6Ballymena United1143417:1515
7Cliftonville1350816:1615
8Limavady United1343614:1815
9Crusaders1350816:2815
10Dungannon Swifts1242612:1714

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.