Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.87
No46%
ours 2.15
All matches
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Limavady United — Crusaders, NIFL Premiership
Northern Ireland, NIFL Premiership
Limavady United
1.7DWLWW
Crusaders
1.3LWLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
49%23%28%
Limavady United49%Draw23%Crusaders28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Limavady United2.04—
XDraw4.40—
2Crusaders3.54—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLimavady UnitedCrusadersCombined
Goals scored0.500.330.83
Conceded0.331.001.33
Corners8.010.79.3
Cards1.01.32.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Limavady UnitedCrusaders
Limavady United FC 49%, Crusaders FC 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Limavady United FC 49%Draw 23%Crusaders FC 28%
1st half
38 · 37 · 24
2nd half
32 · 41 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Limavady United
- awayPortadown2:2
- homeCliftonville1:0
- awayColeraine0:1
- homeBangor3:1
- awayCrusaders2:1
Crusaders
- awayCarrick Rangers0:4
- homeBangor2:1
- awayLinfield0:1
- homeDungannon Swifts3:0
- homeLimavady United1:2
Head to head
- 09/12/26NIFL Premiership2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Larne651012:316
Larne651012:3164
Glentoran1051415:1016
Glentoran1051415:10165Crusaders1050515:1815
Crusaders1050515:18156
Carrick Rangers1041515:1513
Carrick Rangers1041515:15137
Dungannon Swifts94149:1013
Dungannon Swifts94149:10138
Ballymena United933313:1112
Ballymena United933313:11129
Cliftonville1040612:1212
Cliftonville1040612:121210Limavady United93159:1310
Limavady United93159:131011
Bangor1012710:225
Bangor1012710:22512
Portadown100287:212
Portadown100287:212Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.