Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.18
All matches
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Coleraine — Glentoran, NIFL Premiership
Northern Ireland, NIFL Premiership
Coleraine
3.1WLWWW
Glentoran
2.6WWWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
54%22%24%
Coleraine54%Draw22%Glentoran24%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Coleraine1.86—
XDraw4.52—
2Glentoran4.13—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricColeraineGlentoranCombined
Goals scored0.831.001.83
Conceded0.830.171.00
Corners7.711.79.7
Cards1.31.73.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
ColeraineGlentoran
Coleraine FC 54%, Glentoran FC 24%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Coleraine FC 54%Draw 22%Glentoran FC 24%
1st half
37 · 40 · 23
2nd half
39 · 37 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Coleraine
- awayBangor3:2
- homeLinfield1:3
- homeLimavady United1:0
- awayGlentoran2:1
- homeBallymena United3:2
Glentoran
- homeDungannon Swifts2:0
- homeCarrick Rangers2:0
- awayCliftonville2:1
- homeColeraine1:2
- homeBangor1:1
Head to head
- 09/15/26NIFL Premiership2:1
- 04/25/26NIFL Premiership6:2
- 03/21/26NIFL Premiership1:1
- 12/19/25NIFL Premiership1:2
- 09/19/25NIFL Premiership1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Coleraine1081122:1025
Coleraine1081122:10252
Linfield971112:622
Linfield971112:6223
Larne651012:316
Larne651012:3164Glentoran1051415:1016
Glentoran1051415:10165
Crusaders1050515:1815
Crusaders1050515:18156
Carrick Rangers1041515:1513
Carrick Rangers1041515:1513Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.