All matches

Levante vs Racing Santander prediction

Spain, La Liga

VARStats prediction for 29 November: Levante 55%, draw 22%, Racing Santander 22%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

1.7LLWDD
  
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
55%22%22%
Levante55%Draw22%Racing Santander22%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Levante55%1.81—
XDraw22%4.47—
2Racing Santander22%4.49—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes70%

ours 1.43

No30%

ours 3.32

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches

Cards prediction

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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

LevanteRacing Santander

Levante UD 55%, Real Racing Club de Santander 22%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.

Levante UD 55%Draw 22%Real Racing Club de Santander 22%
1st half
42 · 33 · 24
2nd half
45 · 29 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Under 2.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricLevanteRacing SantanderCombined
Goals scored1.600.802.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Levante
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
  • Relegation zone: 18th of 20
  • Fewest yellow cards in the league — 1.4 per match20 teams in the league
Racing Santander
  • Winless away in 6 matches0:2, 0:5, 2:7, 2:3, 0:1
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches13 goals conceded
  • Most corners in the league in their matches — 12.6 per match20 teams in the league

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Levante

  • homeAtletico Madrid0:2
  • awayReal Sociedad1:2
  • homeAthletic Bilbao3:1
  • awayDeportivo La Coruna1:1
  • homeSevilla3:3

Racing Santander

  • homeReal Madrid0:3
  • homeEspanyol2:1
  • awayOsasuna0:2
  • homeValencia2:2
  • awayCelta Vigo0:5

Head to head

  • 04/06/25Segunda División3:1
  • 10/13/24Segunda División0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14Espanyol1132613:1411
15Osasuna1032510:2011
16Racing Santander1132615:2911
17Elche1124514:1810
18Levante1124516:2110
19Valencia112368:179
20Malaga110568:215

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.