Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.74
No43%
ours 2.35
All matches
—
Dungannon Swifts — Cliftonville, NIFL Premiership
Northern Ireland, NIFL Premiership
Dungannon Swifts
1.7LDLLW
Cliftonville
1.9LLLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%22%35%
Dungannon Swifts42%Draw22%Cliftonville35%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Dungannon Swifts2.36—
XDraw4.45—
2Cliftonville2.84—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDungannon SwiftsCliftonvilleCombined
Goals scored0.170.170.34
Conceded1.171.002.17
Corners11.311.011.1
Cards2.01.03.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Dungannon SwiftsCliftonville
Dungannon Swifts FC 42%, Cliftonville FC 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Dungannon Swifts FC 42%Draw 22%Cliftonville FC 35%
1st half
38 · 36 · 26
2nd half
31 · 39 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 8.5
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Dungannon Swifts
- awayGlentoran0:2
- homeBallymena United1:1
- awayCrusaders0:3
- homeLinfield0:1
- awayLimavady United2:0
Cliftonville
- homeBallymena United0:1
- awayLimavady United0:1
- homeGlentoran1:2
- awayLarne0:2
- awayCarrick Rangers3:1
Head to head
- 08/29/26NIFL Premiership2:0
- 05/09/26NIFL Premiership2:1
- 04/18/26NIFL Premiership0:1
- 02/13/26NIFL Premiership3:2
- 11/08/25NIFL Premiership0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Crusaders1050515:1815
Crusaders1050515:18156
Carrick Rangers1041515:1513
Carrick Rangers1041515:15137Dungannon Swifts94149:1013
Dungannon Swifts94149:10138
Ballymena United933313:1112
Ballymena United933313:11129Cliftonville1040612:1212
Cliftonville1040612:121210
Limavady United93159:1310
Limavady United93159:131011
Bangor1012710:225
Bangor1012710:225Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.