Both teams to score
Yes59%
Fair price 1.70House price 1.57
No41%
Fair price 2.43House price 2.25
All matches
Kolding vs Aalborg BK prediction
Denmark, 1st Division · UTC
VARStats prediction for 20 November: Aalborg BK 39%, Kolding 34%, draw 26%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.
Prediction updated
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
34%26%39%
KoldingPrice 2.7134%DrawPrice 3.4526%Aalborg BKPrice 2.3439%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
Available with PremiumUnlock
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Kolding2.902.71+0.5
XDraw3.783.45+0.3
2Aalborg BK2.562.34-0.8
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Most likely score
The three most likely scores according to the model. A probability, not a guarantee.
- 1:1
- 1:2
- 0:1
How the model reads the match
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
KoldingAalborg BK
Kolding 35%Draw 26%Aalborg BK 39%
Prices: 2.71 · 3.45 · 2.34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium
3 days free →More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Away or draw
66%1.40
Two more scenarios — with Premium
3 days free →Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKoldingAalborg BKCombined
Goals scored1.401.202.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other nine metrics — with Premium
3 days free →Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Kolding- 13 days’ rest
- Unbeaten at home in 5 matches3:2, 2:1, 1:1, 0:0, 2:1
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 51:3, 3:2, 0:1, 2:1, 1:1
Aalborg BK- 14 days’ rest
- Winless in 7 matches1:1, 1:1, 1:2, 0:1, 3:3
- Winless away in 4 matches1:1, 1:2, 3:3, 2:2, 2:0
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
xG luck this season
KoldingUnlucky15 pts · xPts 19.3-4.3
Aalborg BKUnlucky16 pts · xPts 21.4-5.4
The gap between points and expected points usually evens out over time.
Form and context
Kolding
- awayHillerod1:3
- homeHB Koge3:2
- awayAB0:1
- homeVendsyssel2:1
- awayHobro1:1
Aalborg BK
- awayHB Koge1:1
- homeHobro1:1
- awayHillerod1:2
- homeVejle Boldklub0:1
- awayEsbjerg3:3
Head to head
- 08/09/261st Division1:1
- 11/22/251st Division3:0
- 07/19/251st Division1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Denmark, 1st Division: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
3 days free →Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.