Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.85
No46%
ours 2.18
All matches
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Hobro IK — Kolding IF, 1st Division
Denmark, 1st Division
Hobro IK
LDLLW
Kolding IF
DDLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
36%27%38%
Hobro IK36%Draw27%Kolding IF38%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Hobro IK2.79—
XDraw3.75—
2Kolding IF2.67—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHobro IKKolding IFCombined
Goals scored1.331.332.66
Conceded2.171.503.67
Corners10.29.09.6
Cards1.52.03.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Hobro IKKolding IF
Hobro IK 36%, Kolding IF 38%. The safest is “Kolding IF or draw” at 73%.
Hobro IK 36%Draw 27%Kolding IF 38%
1st half
32 · 37 · 31
2nd half
24 · 43 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Under 1.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Hobro IK
- awayHB Køge2:5
- homeVejle Boldklub0:0
- homeHvidovre IF1:3
- awayHillerød Fodbold1:3
- homeAalborg BK2:1
Kolding IF
- homeHillerød Fodbold1:1
- homeFC Fredericia0:0
- awayAarhus Fremad1:2
- homeAkademisk Boldklub2:1
- awayHB Køge2:2
Head to head
- 03/06/261st Division1:2
- 09/28/251st Division2:2
- 03/14/251st Division0:1
- 09/20/241st Division1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Aarhus Fremad934210:913
Aarhus Fremad934210:9135
Aalborg BK934211:1113
Aalborg BK934211:11136Hobro IK941412:1613
Hobro IK941412:16137
Vendsyssel FF924310:1410
Vendsyssel FF924310:14108
Akademisk Boldklub923411:109
Akademisk Boldklub923411:1099
Hillerød Fodbold923413:149
Hillerød Fodbold923413:14910Kolding IF915310:128
Kolding IF915310:12811
HB Køge914411:177
HB Køge914411:17712
Esbjerg fB912610:195
Esbjerg fB912610:195Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.