Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.78
No44%
ours 2.29
All matches
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Kolding IF — HB Køge, 1st Division
Denmark, 1st Division
Kolding IF
DDLWD
HB Køge
WDDDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%26%27%
Kolding IF47%Draw26%HB Køge27%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kolding IF2.13—
XDraw3.84—
2HB Køge3.71—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKolding IFHB KøgeCombined
Goals scored0.331.331.66
Conceded0.500.831.33
Corners8.39.38.8
Cards2.31.33.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Kolding IFHB Køge
Kolding IF 47%, HB Køge 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Kolding IF 47%Draw 26%HB Køge 27%
1st half
43 · 36 · 21
2nd half
31 · 40 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Under 1.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Kolding IF
- homeHillerød Fodbold1:1
- homeFC Fredericia0:0
- awayAarhus Fremad1:2
- homeAkademisk Boldklub2:1
- awayHB Køge2:2
HB Køge
- homeHobro IK5:2
- awayEsbjerg fB2:2
- homeHillerød Fodbold1:1
- awayAalborg BK0:0
- homeKolding IF2:2
Head to head
- 08/23/261st Division2:2
- 10/17/251st Division1:2
- 08/01/251st Division3:1
- 10/25/241st Division1:0
- 09/14/241st Division1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Akademisk Boldklub923411:109
Akademisk Boldklub923411:1099
Hillerød Fodbold923413:149
Hillerød Fodbold923413:14910Kolding IF915310:128
Kolding IF915310:12811HB Køge914411:177
HB Køge914411:17712
Esbjerg fB912610:195
Esbjerg fB912610:195Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.